Space junk of the satellite, the UFO, a bright meteor? Dunedin, New Zealand

What is this mysterious red light streaking through the night sky over Dunedin, New Zealand on July 18, 2016?

This is the re-entry of the upper stage from the Russian Soyuz rocket that launched Progress MS-03 towards the International Space Station on July 16. 

For a meteor the disintegration path is too long.

Forecast of Reentry Location 

Update Tue 19-Jul-2016 18:12 UTC 

Source

The map above shows the location of the possible reentry of the space junk FLOCK 1E-7 (40726U) predicted by modeling of orbital evolution until the fragment or satellite reaches the altitude of nominal burst.

According to the forecast made by Satview.org, the object’s reentry will occur in Saturday, 16 Jul 2016 at 21:15 UTC, above the coordinates shown on map.

SL-4 ROCKET BODY

Object Description

Type: SL-4 Rocket Body

Int’l Designation: 2016-045B

Launched: 16 July 2016 @ 21:41 UTC

Site: Baikonur Cosmodrome, Russia

Mission: Progress MS-03 ISS Resupply

Reentry Prediction

Predicted Reentry Time: 19 July 2016 06:10 UTC ± 5 hours

Prediction Epoch: 18 July 2016 10:16:54.922 UTC